WINTER WHEAT
— Planting progress: Winter wheat planting moved ahead by another 7 points to reach 87% complete nationwide as of Sunday, 1 point behind last year’s 88% and 2 points behind the five-year average of 89%. Kansas’ crop was 94% planted, near the state’s five-year average of 93%. Oklahoma’s crop was 72% planted, 16 percentage points behind the state’s five-year average of 88%. Texas’ winter wheat was 76% planted, 4 points behind the state’s five-year average of 80%. South Dakota’s crop was 98% planted, 2 points behind the state’s average.
— Crop development: An estimated 66% of winter wheat had emerged as of Sunday, 6 points behind last year’s 72% and 5 points behind the five-year average of 71%. Top winter wheat-producer Kansas’ crop was 76% emerged, 3 points ahead of the state’s average of 73%. Oklahoma’s crop was only 47% emerged, 26 points behind the state’s five-year average of 73%.
— Crop condition: An estimated 41% of winter wheat that had emerged was in good-to-excellent condition, up 3 points from 38% the previous week. That continued to trail last year’s rating of 50% good to excellent by 9 percentage points. Twenty-three percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, unchanged from the previous week. “Montana, Texas and Oklahoma winter wheat conditions are struggling, at 22%, 24% and 31% good to excellent, respectively,” noted DTN Senior Analyst Dana Mantini.
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THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER
Wet conditions from heavy rains the past few days and more precipitation in the forecast could make getting the last of corn and soybeans out of fields a challenge, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.
“Last week featured a bunch of rain for the middle of the country that slowed down the remaining harvest but missed some key winter wheat areas in the southwestern Plains,” Baranick said. “Over the weekend, that really came to fruition with a ton of rain in the Southern Plains, where 4 to 6 inches of rain fell, and some areas of heavy rain soaked soils, causing some flooding. The system responsible continues early this week, moving from Oklahoma up through the Great Lakes through Tuesday. More widespread showers should include Colorado and western Kansas with some decent rainfall to moisten soils and further improve winter wheat conditions.
“And that won’t be the only system. Another one going through the Pacific Northwest on Monday will move down the Rockies and into the Four Corners area by Wednesday, where it will sit for three days. There will be enough cold air around and in Colorado to produce some really heavy snowfall. Over a foot will be possible there. Parts of western Nebraska, western Kansas, and the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles may see some snow as well. But the system promises to produce a bunch of precipitation for the southwestern Plains that missed out on the heavy stuff from the last week. That system will move northeast through the Plains and Midwest over the weekend with more widespread precipitation.
“Those near the Gulf Coast will also be watching a potential tropical storm move in this week. Forecasts are pretty widespread as to which areas may be affected, if any, but that just adds to the rainfall potential for this week. All told, widespread drought reduction, soil moisture increases, and winter wheat condition improvements are expected.”
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Editor’s Note: How is your harvest going? Send us your comments, and we’ll add them to the Crop Progress report story. You can email comments to Anthony.greder@dtn.com or direct message him on social platform X @AGrederDTN. Please include the location of where you farm.
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To view weekly crop progress reports issued by National Ag Statistics Service offices in individual states, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov/…. Look for the U.S. map in the “Find Data and Reports by” section and choose the state you wish to view in the drop-down menu. Then look for that state’s “Crop Progress & Condition” report.
National Crop Progress Summary This Last Last 5-Year Week Week Year Avg. Corn Harvested 91 81 78 75 Soybeans Harvested 94 89 89 85 Winter Wheat Planted 87 80 88 89 Winter Wheat Emerged 66 56 72 71 Cotton Harvested 63 52 55 54 Sorghum Harvested 85 75 83 82
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National Crop Condition Summary (VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent) This Week Last Week Last Year VP P F G E VP P F G E VP P F G E Winter Wheat 8 15 36 35 6 7 16 39 33 5 6 11 33 42 8
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